Abstract
The meta-analysis of the Emerging Risk Factor Collaboration demonstrated that the
hazard ratios (HR) of the major cholesterol markers and the major apolipoproteins
for vascular disease did not differ significantly in the studies they examined. Their
conclusion was that they were functionally interchangeable. We believe there are important
limitations in the execution of this study. Nevertheless, even if their findings are
correct for groups, their conclusions do not follow for individuals. Conventionally,
the HR expresses the increase in risk per standard deviation change for that parameter
in a group. However, the predicted risk of vascular disease from an atherogenic parameter
depends on its concentration within the individual. Depending on the composition of
the apoB lipoproteins, individuals may have either concordant or discordant levels
of cholesterol and apoB. For those who are concordant, the two markers predict equal
risk. For those who are discordant, the predicted risks for the individual are different.
We demonstrate that substantial discordance in the individual HR of non-high-density
lipoprotein cholesterol and apoB is common. The result is that even with identical
overall HR, apoB points to higher risk in a substantial number of individuals whereas
the converse is the case for non- high-density lipoprotein cholesterol. Because we
are concerned with risks in individuals, not groups, this discordance is important
to appreciate and analyze. Our objective should be to learn how to combine the information
from parameters rather than eliminate them and we need to focus on evaluation of risk
in individuals and not just groups.
Keywords
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Article info
Publication history
Published online: February 01, 2010
Accepted:
January 24,
2010
Received:
December 18,
2009
Identification
Copyright
© 2010 National Lipid Association. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.